Winter weather can take a heavy toll on ill-equipped Russian forces in Ukraine, but a well-equipped UDF is unlikely to stop a counteroffensive.
This was reported by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
Analysts write that Ukrainian forces can take advantage of the frozen terrain to move more easily than they could in the muddy autumn months.
"If the fighting stops this winter, it will be due to logistical problems and the culmination of several campaigns on both sides. Russian campaigns to seize five regions ended several months ago and Russian troops are firmly on the defensive along most of the front line," analysts say. .
Ukraine has the initiative and is in the process of securing a great victory in Kherson. The ceasefire would give the Kremlin the pause it desperately needs to rebuild Russian forces.
The great Ukrainian victory, which is ongoing in the Kherson region, will not be the last, experts believe.
Ukrainian military officials and social media sources confirm that over the past 24 hours, Ukrainian forces have made advances to the northwest, west, and northeast of the city of Kherson and advanced up to 7 km in some areas.
So far, the Russians are withdrawing in an organized manner, and the Ukrainian troops are achieving the expected successes, without defeating the Russian forces, as was the case during the Kharkiv counteroffensive.
Ukrainian strikes since August have successfully destroyed Russian supply lines on the right bank, forcing Russian forces to retreat and allowing the liberation of Kherson Oblast to the Dnipro River in the coming days or weeks.
"The withdrawal of Russian troops will take some time, and fighting will continue throughout the Kherson region, as Ukrainian troops advance and face pre-prepared Russian defense lines, especially around the city of Kherson," ISW analysts emphasize.
Key findings of ISW analysts
Ukrainian forces steadily advanced in the Kherson region on November 10, while Russian troops withdrew to the left bank of the Dnipro.
Yevhen Prigozhin, the financier of "Wagner" PMC, is increasingly fighting with St. Petersburg officials due to the increase in the number of his employees in the city.
Russian forces are likely to slow down their campaign against Ukrainian infrastructure.
Ukrainian troops continued to conduct counterattacks on the Svatove-Kreminna line.
Russian troops continued offensive operations near Bakhmut, Avdiivka and in the west of Donetsk.
Russian troops have begun construction of a second line of fortifications in Crimea and southern Ukraine.
Citizens of the Russian Federation continue to oppose Russia's war in Ukraine through protests, dissent on social networks, and desertions from the army.
The Russian occupation authorities continue their attempts to undermine Ukrainian national identity by mobilizing residents of the territories occupied by Russia.