Russian officials are likely using a drone strike on the Kremlin to cancel May 9 parades.
This is reported in the ISW report.
Russian sources reported that parades until May 9 were canceled in 21 cities in Russia and occupied Crimea, either without official justification or citing security concerns.
The Kremlin likely hopes to cancel parades before May 9 and in other cities to hide the degradation of Russia's armed forces, as such events typically showcase advanced Russian military equipment, much of which is either in use in Ukraine or has been destroyed in 14 months of fighting.
The Kremlin is also likely hoping to ban the parades due to concerns that the celebrations could become a potential source of backlash domestically to the large number of Russian casualties in Ukraine.
ISW Key Findings:
On May 4, the Russian Federation troops struck the territory of Ukraine with "Shahed-131/136" drones.
The Kremlin continues a large-scale reform of the security agencies.
US Director of National Intelligence Avril Haynes said Russian forces would likely be unable to mount a "significant offensive" in 2023 due to a lack of ammunition and manpower, regardless of the success of the Ukrainian counteroffensive.
Russian sources claimed that the occupiers achieved territorial gains south of Kreminnaya.
Ukrainian forces probably conducted a limited counterattack southwest of Bakhmut.
Russian troops continued ground attacks in and around Bakhmut, as well as along the Avdiivka-Donetsk line.
The Russian occupation authorities continue to announce new security measures to prevent guerrilla attacks in the occupied territories.
It will be recalled that on May 3, Russia announced an alleged drone attack on the Kremlin. Moscow immediately began to blame Ukraine. Later, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyi emphasized that our country was not involved in the incident.